Mr. Dupont is a professional wine taster. When given a French wine, he will identify it…

Mathematics · JEE Advanced · NTA ExamsStatistics and Probability

Mr. Dupont is a professional wine taster. When given a French wine, he will identify it with probability 0.9 correctly as French, and will mistake it for a Californian wine with probability 0.1 . When given a Californian wine, he will identify it with probability 0.8 correctly as Californian, and will mistake it for a French wine with probability 0.2 . Suppose that Mr. Dupont is given ten unlabelled glasses of wine, three with French and seven with Californian wines. He randomly picks a glass, tries the wine, and Explanation:mnly says : “French”. The probability that the wine he tasted was Californian, is nearly equal to
  1. 0.14
  2. 0.24
  3. 0.34
  4. 0.44

Answer

(C) 0.34

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